EEA-C12-11, Long-term socio-economic forecasting for Hungary

Programme: HU04 Adaptation to Climate Change
Call: C1 - The National Adaptation Geoinformatic System
Sub-call: C12 - Extension of NAGiS to other sectors
Project title: C12-11 Long-term socio-economic forecasting for Hungary

Grant number: EEA-C12-11

Project promoter: Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies
(MTA KRTK)
Project implementation period: May 2014 – December 2015

Project website
Closing event
Kick-off meeting

Short description:

Aim of the project:

The project aims to support the adaptation process by providing a scientific ground for territorially specific actions, and enhancing the climate-related knowledge base and awareness of decision makers, professionals and the general public in the fields of socio-economy. The project focuses on forecasting the long-term social and economic development patterns in Hungary and so providing further sector specific information to the National Adaptation Geo-Information System (NAGiS).

Summary of the activities:

The project analyses the inclusion of social and economic indicators in the climate models. This activity deals with the post-1945 history of socio-economic modelling in Hungary and the parallel international experience as well. The second part of the project models the socio-economic processes in Hungary through 2050, on the scale of districts and regions as well as on a 10x10 km grid. This modelling will forecast three distinguished dimensions, demographic and economic processes.

Awarded grant amount: 174 605  EUR
Contact: Marton Czirfusz, czirfusz@rkk.hu